Former CIA spy: 'Russian coup looks like feint for Wagner to attack Kiev'

Two days ago it looked like Yevgeny Prigozhin's Wagner mercenary army was mutinying against Vladimir Putin. Thousands of mercenaries dashed through from the Ukraine border to Moscow at record speed. At one point they were only 200 kilometers from the Russian capital.

And then everything changed. Belarusian President Lukashenko had called Prigozhin as well as Putin. He had managed to make a deal. Prigozhin and his men would not be prosecuted and the man himself would be allowed to move (with his men?) to Belarus. Wagner's soldiers who were not involved in the mutiny were absorbed into the Russian army.

It was very unusual: both the rise of Wagner and the sudden end of the mutiny.

As a result, there are sounds from people who think things are different. Thus warned a British general this weekend that the deal ensures that thousands of Wagner's soldiers are suddenly very close to Kiev. After all, from Belarus to the Ukrainian capital is a very short drive.

Former CIA spy Andrew Bustamante - who is very popular on major U.S. podcasts - shares that viewpoint.

"Less than 24 hours after the Wagner attack on Russia, the whole problem is suddenly solved," aloud Bustamante on Twitter. Fortunately, the autocratic leader of Belarus, Lukashenko, suddenly turns out to be an expert peace negotiator." In doing so, Bustamante put emoticons that roll on the ground with laughter to indicate that this thought is totally ridiculous.

"After this, the world is going to watch 25,000 Wagner mercenaries 'peacefully' put down within 150 kilometers of Kiev," he continued.

"This smells like a huge distraction to put Russian troops in Belarus at the beginning of the Ukrainian counteroffensive," explains the former spy afterwards. "Now Kiev must be seriously worried while the vast majority of its troops are deployed in the south to take back inch by inch from the Russians."

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And so there are more and more people - experts - who come up with a different reading than the one most popular in the media. Who is right? That, of course, cannot be determined.... Not until something happens. Until the end of Putin's regime or until Wagner attacks Kiev from Belarus. If either happens we will know who saw it right and who was totally wrong.